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July Stock State: Outlook and Market Strategy

Outlook and Strategy for June 7, 2017. Sell-offs or market adjustment in high-flying tech and semiconductors is noticable. Stocks such as ATVI, EA, ADBE, RHT, ADSR, MU, PYPL, NVDA, LRCX, and AVGO have had the fastest run-up and are at the greatest risk for a sell-off or correction. Howver, the bigger name FAAMG stocks that include Google, FB, Netfix, and Amazon have led the sell-off. Questions to ask are 1) are these stocks over valued, 2) what are the implications…

June 2017 Stock Pick Performance

It was a month where "less bad" was the winner. On the other hand, some picks occurred with the expectation buying on a pull-back and thus those with the greatest percentage loss represent the greatest profit opportunities. For base stocks, the only index that was worse was the NASDAQ. Base stocks lost to the S & P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial average. Base stock performance is reflected in the following table. Note that when data collection occurred on…

July 2017 Weekly Stock Recommendations

Stock picks for the 1st week of July, 2017 (July 3 - 7), with markets closed July 4, 2017. The tech sell-off created buying opportunities. July, week 1 stock recommendations must include AAPL. I'd also consider TREE, TCMD, NTES, ANET, JD, JPM, CRIUF, and ARCC. ARCC is a large, solid business development company that pays about 9.3% and has also pulled back recently, making it a good buy. CRIUF is a Canadian utilities company that pays about 8% and offers…

June 2017 Stock Picks of the Week

Stock tickers to consider adding to your portfolio for the week of June 5 - 9 are: Two Chinese growth stocks BABA and WB; Dividend stock with strong dividend growth AVGO; High yield dividend stocks STWD, HSBC, IRM, and EPD; the technology dividend fund TDIV; and the speculative stocks NEO and AERI. Take no more than relatively small positions in the speculative stocks and place stop losses on them to protect your capital. This week is full of political noise,…

June Stock State: Market Strategy and Outlook

June 2, 2017 update: Markets are gaining momentum. As of this Thursday and Friday, a risk-on appetite from strong labor market data and positive expectations among businesses and consumers led to put more money into smaller, riskier growth stocks. This is a good sign. Moreover, it reinforces the prospects for a continuation of the current bull-market in stocks. Except for the stock market, the economy has been on a recessionary trend the last 8 years. It is the improvement in…

May 2017 Stock Pick Performance

This month both the Base and Monthly stock picks beat the overall market. The improvement in Base stocks was due to substituting Shopify (SHOP) for IBM and GE. The Table below shows the monthly base stock performance compared to the major stock indexes. The table shows that Monthly Base Stock performance nearly doubled the best performing NASDAQ index. The weekly stock picks fared even better by more than tripling the return on the NASDAQ. Nevertheless, there was significant inconsistency within…

May 2017 Weekly Stock Picks

Busy moving my daughter to Los Angeles, CA this month and have gotten behind. The best I can do now is to combine the 1st and 2nd week's stock picks for May into one set. These tickers are: ZIXI, BOTZ (a fund for robotics and AI), CELG, AEIS, and ABMD. I expect these to beat the market in the coming month and beyond. Do your research when considering any of them to add to your portfolio. For fans of monthly…

April 2017 Stock Pick Perfomance

Weekly stock picks clobbered the market yet again! Even so, the set of Base Stocks lagged the market a bit and as a result I am dropping two of my Base Stocks: IBM and GE. I am replacing these two dropped stocks with Shopify (SHOP). The following chart summarizes the Monthly Base Stock performance. April 2017 Base Stock Performance Weekly stock picks for April outperformed all 3 major stock indices by a wide margin. Those with dividends exhibited a greater…

The Stock State: Market Outlook and Strategy

After a strong run-up from the November election and through February, the market was up on a "Trump Bump." Personally, I thought the "Trump Bump" was more of a celebration over the discontinuance of anti-market policies put in place by an Obama administration that never understood how a market economy works. Hilary Clinton would have continued those same misguided policies for the same reasons. That Clinton lost and the anti-market policies ended was reason enough for the stock market run-up.…

Stock Traders and Stock Investors

The difference between stock market traders and stock market investors is often confusing. Here are some brief definitions and examples of each type of trader. According to Ian Harvey at Investopedia (downloaded on 4/10/2017), Stock traders tend to have a short-term time horizon and buy or sell stock based on the market and its characteristics rather than company. Traders consider such things as stock price patterns and the technical analysis of a given stocks price movements, factors that might cause…