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Current Economy

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January 2018 Weekly Stock Picks

Week 1 (Jan 2 - 5): The conservative strategy is to not chase stocks when they are up, but buy on the dips instead.  Maybe wait for a 1% - 2% pull back in the market or a given stock or fund.  For growth, take a look at OLLI, MULE, EDIT, GBT, HUN, AME, NUAN, PTI, HMLSF (Horizons Marijuana Life Sciences Index ETG), TPL, NUAN, AMG, MAS, and IBKR.  For dividends consider GSBD and BREUF.  Pull backs require you keeep…

December 2017 Stock State

December 1, 2017 update: Do not follow the herd, especially if it appears panicky.  You'll just run off the cliff with everybody else.  If spent all your cash because you thought this correction would be like previous ones that were short in duration, just act like Warren Buffett and be patient.  All good things come to those who wait.  Amazon and Facebook both sold off earlier this year.  Jumping out of them when they did just cost you money.  They…

November 2017 Stock State

November 15 update: We keep doing what works until it doesn't.  Be careful about buying on small dips while assuming that tomorrow the market will upon on the upside.  This may quit working with tomorrow becoming another down day.  This is characteristic of a stock market that rolls-over into a larger correction . . . which we badly need.  Given a larger correction of say 3 - 5% a global bottom, as opposed to the daily local minimums, you may…

Weekly Stock Picks for November 2017

Week 1 (Nov. 1 - 10): Goldilocks global economy and the three bears are no where in site.  Consider SQ, INTC, MMM, GRUB, MB, SAFM, ASIX, LAZ, and CRL for growth.  Some of these like MMM, and LAZ also pay dividends that offer more growth.  Keep cash on hand for any corrections, or for buying TVIX at the start of a correction to acquire even more cash.  Rising interest rates may steal some allure from high yielding ETFs and CEFs…

Some Thoughts on Modern Day Democracy

I'll start with the premise that most people, including those with resources in the markets, do not want or need overregulation. Social progressivity is therefore are desirable agenda. So too is classical liberalism in which there are free markets and limited government. With regard to economics, the limited government only addresses resource misallocation caused by market processes (i.e., under production of public goods, the existence of market externalities, decisions based on asymmetrical information, and excessive market concentration among unions and…

October 2017 Stock State

September 6 update: Investors can probably ignore this. Trades pay attention. High rates of growth, the higher the worse, combined with complacent or Pollyanna investors along with stock analysts that give in to assuming an unrelenting upward trending stocks is a circumstance that inevitably leads to a correction. Listen to Cramer (Mad Money). He has experience beyond what most of us have. Hold more cash, be ready to hedge (buy TZA or TVIX), and don't panic sell. Given the solid…

October 2017 Stocks of the Week

Warren Buffet thinks that the low-interest environment creates a situation in which stocks are NOT overvalued and that there are good buying opportunities out there. Also, the general consensus is that there are more positives than negatives that might affect the stock market in the near term. That said, some analysts continue to stress the likelihood of a significant short-run correction and that holding cash is the best hedge. Stocks for Week 1: For growth consider TRLFF, EDIT, CERN, IMED…

September 2017 Stock State

September 8 update: Earnings are strong as are profits and the underlying economy. Yet there are potential problems with which we must consider. First, it is September. Typically, stocks do well up to about the middle of September and then tend to sell off such that the month ends in the red. Some technical analysts suggest that Monday the 18th could be the day selling begins in earnest. Look out below . . . and then buy because October -…

August 2017 Stock Pick Performance

The base stock portfolio and the weekly stock picks for August 2017 managed to beat all the major stock indexes (S & P 500, NASDAQ, Dow). That said, it was a difficult month for stock picks. The base portfolio had one change in that USCR took the place of ALK. The following link has the table for the base stock portfolio. August 2017 Stock Performance Overall, the weekly stock picks fared about twice as well as the index beating base…

September 2017 Weekly Stock Picks

Week 1 (9/5 - 9/8): September is generally a worse month for stocks than August, which wasn't very good. Still, stock indexes finished August at nearly their break-even points. Adjust your expectations for September to include a greater risk for profit taking and a market correction, and for stocks to finish the month lower. This scenario also represents a buying opportunity. For growth, take a look at CTLT, CG, ADSK, SCZ, and LILAK. SCZ and LILAK are funds investing in…

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