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Market Strategy

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September 2017 Stock Pick Performance

September was another challenging month. So many fear October that sellers tend to dominate the month and finding stocks that might make gains is more challenging. The Base stock portfolio beat the NASDAQ and performed nearly as well as the DOW and S & P 500. The best performer was the regional banks (KRE). Shopify (SHOP) was second best, but has since been "short bombed" by a Citron analyst and will need to find a new bottom, probably somewhere below…

October 2017 Stocks of the Week

Warren Buffet thinks that the low-interest environment creates a situation in which stocks are NOT overvalued and that there are good buying opportunities out there. Also, the general consensus is that there are more positives than negatives that might affect the stock market in the near term. That said, some analysts continue to stress the likelihood of a significant short-run correction and that holding cash is the best hedge. Stocks for Week 1: For growth consider TRLFF, EDIT, CERN, IMED…

September 2017 Stock State

September 8 update: Earnings are strong as are profits and the underlying economy. Yet there are potential problems with which we must consider. First, it is September. Typically, stocks do well up to about the middle of September and then tend to sell off such that the month ends in the red. Some technical analysts suggest that Monday the 18th could be the day selling begins in earnest. Look out below . . . and then buy because October -…

September 2017 Weekly Stock Picks

Week 1 (9/5 - 9/8): September is generally a worse month for stocks than August, which wasn't very good. Still, stock indexes finished August at nearly their break-even points. Adjust your expectations for September to include a greater risk for profit taking and a market correction, and for stocks to finish the month lower. This scenario also represents a buying opportunity. For growth, take a look at CTLT, CG, ADSK, SCZ, and LILAK. SCZ and LILAK are funds investing in…

July 2017 Stock Pick Performance

July 2017 Base Stock Performance July 2017 Weekly Stock Performance Once again, all stock pick categories -- Base Stocks and Weekly Stock Picks -- beat all three stock indexes during the month of July, 2017. The only major negatives in Base Stocks were regional banks (KRE) and the one airline stock (ALK). Weekly stock picks had an even stronger month with most of the negative capital losses among the high yield dividend stocks (DIV HY). Moreover, these losses were slight…

August Stock State: Market Outlook and Strategy

August 9, 2017 update: Two things that matter: 1) August is typically a negative month for stocks. 2) Geopolitical risk related to N. Korea causes investors to take money out of the market. You can choose to ride out August if you believe, like I do, that the last quarter will reverse course and be strongly favorable. You can hold more cash and buy gold and silver as well. I'd also hedge my bets and buy a 3x leverage inverse…

August Weekly Stock Pick Recommendations

Week 1 (July 31 - Aug 11): For growth, I suggest looking at INTT, NVMI, KLIC, TFECY, LYV, and GILD. For dividend growth and income, consider MPLX, and NTES. ETF's that pay around 8% quarterly and provide strong growth are IHD, and IAE. An undervalued CEF that pays monthly is the Boudler Growth and Income Fund (BIF). For pure dividends, consider EOD and GPM that pay about 11% quarterly. Stocks are generally fully valued, so the average growth rate will…

July Stock State: Outlook and Market Strategy

Outlook and Strategy for June 7, 2017. Sell-offs or market adjustment in high-flying tech and semiconductors is noticable. Stocks such as ATVI, EA, ADBE, RHT, ADSR, MU, PYPL, NVDA, LRCX, and AVGO have had the fastest run-up and are at the greatest risk for a sell-off or correction. Howver, the bigger name FAAMG stocks that include Google, FB, Netfix, and Amazon have led the sell-off. Questions to ask are 1) are these stocks over valued, 2) what are the implications…

June 2017 Stock Pick Performance

It was a month where "less bad" was the winner. On the other hand, some picks occurred with the expectation buying on a pull-back and thus those with the greatest percentage loss represent the greatest profit opportunities. For base stocks, the only index that was worse was the NASDAQ. Base stocks lost to the S & P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial average. Base stock performance is reflected in the following table. Note that when data collection occurred on…

June 2017 Stock Picks of the Week

Stock tickers to consider adding to your portfolio for the week of June 5 - 9 are: Two Chinese growth stocks BABA and WB; Dividend stock with strong dividend growth AVGO; High yield dividend stocks STWD, HSBC, IRM, and EPD; the technology dividend fund TDIV; and the speculative stocks NEO and AERI. Take no more than relatively small positions in the speculative stocks and place stop losses on them to protect your capital. This week is full of political noise,…

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