State of the Economy: As growth slow and AI continues to grow, the labor market slowly deteriorates as the “Labor Market Trends Index” shows: The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) Declined in December Latest Press Release Updated: Monday, January 12, 2026 The Conference Board Employment Trends Index™ (ETI) declined in December to 104.27, from… Continue reading January Stock and Fund Picks
Tag: Market Strategy
August Stock and Fund Picks
August 24: Inflation still appears as mostly a supply-side phenomenon which is exacerbated from time-to-time by strict, zero Coved tolerance from the Chinese government that leads to shipping port shutdowns. September will see supplemental unemployment end in all States which will ameliorate the supply-side constraints in the U.S. to some degree. The Delta variant is… Continue reading August Stock and Fund Picks
April Stock and Fund Picks
Stay the course: Stay in cash and do not buy any new stocks or funds at this time. If I don’t recommend you deploy capital then I can’t be accused of giving you overly risky or just plain bad advise. If you already have a dividend reinvestment portfolio then just hold it and let it… Continue reading April Stock and Fund Picks
March 2020 State of the Markets
Last week of February priced in only a part of the negative supply-side shock of the Corona virus outbreak. When theme parks and public events such as the Olympics are either under consideration for cancelation or being canceled at an accelerating rate, people are staying home rather than going out such as in Italy and… Continue reading March 2020 State of the Markets
August Stock and Fund Picks
Week 1 -2 (Aug. 1 – 15): There are changes to my personal portfolio from July. Specifically, I’m dropping EPR and CCMNX and adding PHD and BSL. These changes are now reflected in the updated portfolio. Most stock analysts are weak at Open Economy Macroeconomics and tend to look only at the initial static effect… Continue reading August Stock and Fund Picks
March Stock and Fund Picks
Weeks 1 – 2: Looks like things have decided to cool off and things are relatively stable. Trump and the Chinese can still cause a major disruption so be prepared. Since you can’t know when things might change and it is political rather than fundamental it is probably best to plan on holding through any… Continue reading March Stock and Fund Picks
February Stock Picks
Week 1 – 2 (Feb. 1 – 15): More trade uncertainty for March 1st and looming government shutdown #2 are on the horizon. Have been all month so haven’t wanted to commit to anything in the stock market. The Chinese will be watching the compromise bill to avert the shutdown so as to guess how… Continue reading February Stock Picks
October Stock and Fund Picks
Week 1 (October 1 – 5): Fed interest rate hikes are the new source of market volatility. Cramer says that he doesn’t like this market. Given his experience, that’s a big red flag. Cramer also suggests that the sell-off has begun. Another red flag. Generally, stocks do well during rising rates until, of course,… Continue reading October Stock and Fund Picks
September Market Beating Stock Picks
Week 1 (Sept. 4 – 7): Trade is still a negative while just about everything else (eg., domestic economy and GDP growth, relatively low real interest rates, and company earnings) are positives. On a different issue, I don’t get why the NFL allows anyone to take a knee during the national anthem. There are a… Continue reading September Market Beating Stock Picks
Free Stock Picks for June 2018
Week 1 (June 1 – 8): The economy is just right. Short-term calm and low volatility usually create a “smart-money” outflow and a short-term dip that you should buy . . . maybe by tomorrow. Consider the growth stocks GTES, and OFG. Look at the ETFs: XLI, PSCI, and XSD. Good dividend growth… Continue reading Free Stock Picks for June 2018