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January 2018 Stock State

The economy continues to do well, but not too well.  That is, it is chugging along rather steadily but not so fast as to suggest closing in on the next recession any time soon.  The stock market is not always in lock step with the economy because it rests on not only fundamentals, but such things as investor expectations and sentiment as well.  The recent supply side tax cut that reduced corporates rates appears to underly market exuberance.  If exuberance…

January 2018 Weekly Stock Picks

Week 1 (Jan 2 - 5): The conservative strategy is to not chase stocks when they are up, but buy on the dips instead.  Maybe wait for a 1% - 2% pull back in the market or a given stock or fund.  For growth, take a look at OLLI, MULE, EDIT, GBT, HUN, AME, NUAN, PTI, HMLSF (Horizons Marijuana Life Sciences Index ETG), TPL, NUAN, AMG, MAS, and IBKR.  For dividends consider GSBD and BREUF.  Pull backs require you keeep…

December 2017 Stocks of the Week

Week 1 (December 4 - 8): A very necessary Tech correction (i.e., the elevator down) is underway.  This will allow for the next leg up among high-flying, high-earning tech stocks (i.e., the slower "back up the stairs")among their respective market valuations).  Once the correction bottoms, buying will again dominate so look for entry points such as the MACD (a chart indicator) crossing upwards and into the buying zone. Growth stocks strongly recommended by analysts include BIDU, KLIC, DQ, PAYC, DXC,…

December 2017 Stock State

December 1, 2017 update: Do not follow the herd, especially if it appears panicky.  You'll just run off the cliff with everybody else.  If spent all your cash because you thought this correction would be like previous ones that were short in duration, just act like Warren Buffett and be patient.  All good things come to those who wait.  Amazon and Facebook both sold off earlier this year.  Jumping out of them when they did just cost you money.  They…

October 2017 Stock Pick Performance

October was an overall bad month for stocks and stock picking.  While the Base Stock picks outperformed all thee stock indexes (S & P 500, DOW, NASDAQ), the weekly stock picks did not. Even though the base stock picks outperformed, I am selling USCR and adding FTEC to the base stock portfolio.  Access the October Base Stock portfolio performance through the following link. October 2017 Base Stock Performance Access the weekly stock picks through the following link. October 2017 Weekly…

November 2017 Stock State

November 15 update: We keep doing what works until it doesn't.  Be careful about buying on small dips while assuming that tomorrow the market will upon on the upside.  This may quit working with tomorrow becoming another down day.  This is characteristic of a stock market that rolls-over into a larger correction . . . which we badly need.  Given a larger correction of say 3 - 5% a global bottom, as opposed to the daily local minimums, you may…

Weekly Stock Picks for November 2017

Week 1 (Nov. 1 - 10): Goldilocks global economy and the three bears are no where in site.  Consider SQ, INTC, MMM, GRUB, MB, SAFM, ASIX, LAZ, and CRL for growth.  Some of these like MMM, and LAZ also pay dividends that offer more growth.  Keep cash on hand for any corrections, or for buying TVIX at the start of a correction to acquire even more cash.  Rising interest rates may steal some allure from high yielding ETFs and CEFs…

Some Thoughts on Modern Day Democracy

I'll start with the premise that most people, including those with resources in the markets, do not want or need overregulation. Social progressivity is therefore are desirable agenda. So too is classical liberalism in which there are free markets and limited government. With regard to economics, the limited government only addresses resource misallocation caused by market processes (i.e., under production of public goods, the existence of market externalities, decisions based on asymmetrical information, and excessive market concentration among unions and…

October 2017 Stock State

September 6 update: Investors can probably ignore this. Trades pay attention. High rates of growth, the higher the worse, combined with complacent or Pollyanna investors along with stock analysts that give in to assuming an unrelenting upward trending stocks is a circumstance that inevitably leads to a correction. Listen to Cramer (Mad Money). He has experience beyond what most of us have. Hold more cash, be ready to hedge (buy TZA or TVIX), and don't panic sell. Given the solid…

September 2017 Stock Pick Performance

September was another challenging month. So many fear October that sellers tend to dominate the month and finding stocks that might make gains is more challenging. The Base stock portfolio beat the NASDAQ and performed nearly as well as the DOW and S & P 500. The best performer was the regional banks (KRE). Shopify (SHOP) was second best, but has since been "short bombed" by a Citron analyst and will need to find a new bottom, probably somewhere below…