December 21: Winter is now here. More importantly, it appears more and more like an inflection point in the stock markets. The underlying economy is strong and the housing market is even better. Above trend growth is projected into next year and even with the end of the Fed taper and raising short-term rates 3… Continue reading December Stock and Fund Picks
Category: Current State of the Economy
November Stock and Fund Picks
November 21: As long as interest rates remain low and the economy is fundamentally sound and growing, nothing of note is likely to cause overly significant market instability. Because equity values are generally stretched, individual stocks and sector oriented funds are the best bet. That said, consider the following stocks for growth: WIRE, DQ, PDCE,… Continue reading November Stock and Fund Picks
October Stock and Fund Picks
October 14: The debt ceiling problem is still a worry while Covid is becoming less so. The fear and greed index is also still in the fear range and so I don’t know for sure if the end of September slump is completely over. That said, the fundamental economy is still in a supply-constrained growth… Continue reading October Stock and Fund Picks
September Stock and Fund Picks
September 12: There are market headwinds building such as slowing economic growth and earnings, Fed tapering, Delta variant wild card effects on jobs and the labor market, and school policy adjustments affecting working parents that suggest a re-assessment of future earning flows. A downward revision in future earnings over the next two years will lead… Continue reading September Stock and Fund Picks
August Stock and Fund Picks
August 24: Inflation still appears as mostly a supply-side phenomenon which is exacerbated from time-to-time by strict, zero Coved tolerance from the Chinese government that leads to shipping port shutdowns. September will see supplemental unemployment end in all States which will ameliorate the supply-side constraints in the U.S. to some degree. The Delta variant is… Continue reading August Stock and Fund Picks
No longer a Republican
I am repelled by Lindsey Graham and the Trump supporters in the Republican Party. I encourage others who can no longer tolerate the lying, ignorant, KKK affiliated Republican party to also drop out. However, I will also never be a Democrat. Thus, I am now an “Independent.” Moderate Republicans leaving the Republican Party will allow… Continue reading No longer a Republican
May Stock and Fund Picks
May 6: The mild and steady start for this year should not lead to complacence. Further stimulus and strong corporate earnings portend that a steady-as-she-goes stock market could continue. Recent worries have arisen due to the fear that central banks could start to ease off on monetary support, as the Bank of Canada has begun… Continue reading May Stock and Fund Picks
February Stock and Fund Picks
Their are two recent positive developments. First, it looks like the stimulus package just needs to work its way through the Senate so it is likely the government will pay out stimulus checks sometime in March. Second, the single-shot nature and easier storage requirements of the newly approved J & J covide-19 vaccine should help… Continue reading February Stock and Fund Picks
January Stock and Fund Picks
The state of the economy is generally positive. Pent up demand will continue to be unleashed as vaccinations increase but don’t expect a new Covid-19 stimulus bill until mid march, if then. Also, expect a re-allocation of resources away from oil and gas and towards renewables. As far as new policies that effect the economy,… Continue reading January Stock and Fund Picks
December 2020 Stock and Fund Picks
The market appears like it will be strong until mid January 2021. No one wants to sell gains at this time so it will remain somewhat overbought. That said, the Biden administration will be a lot less volatile and thereby contribute to increased market stability — especially regarding tariffs randomly and thoughtlessly applied. Moreover, gridlock… Continue reading December 2020 Stock and Fund Picks