The economy continues to do well, but not too well. That is, it is chugging along rather steadily but not so fast as to suggest closing in on the next recession any time soon. The stock market is not always in lock step with the economy because it rests on not only fundamentals, but such… Continue reading January 2018 Stock State
Tag: economic analysis
December 2017 Stock State
December 1, 2017 update: Do not follow the herd, especially if it appears panicky. You’ll just run off the cliff with everybody else. If spent all your cash because you thought this correction would be like previous ones that were short in duration, just act like Warren Buffett and be patient. All good things come… Continue reading December 2017 Stock State
November 2017 Stock State
November 15 update: We keep doing what works until it doesn’t. Be careful about buying on small dips while assuming that tomorrow the market will upon on the upside. This may quit working with tomorrow becoming another down day. This is characteristic of a stock market that rolls-over into a larger correction . . .… Continue reading November 2017 Stock State
September 2017 Stock State
September 8 update: Earnings are strong as are profits and the underlying economy. Yet there are potential problems with which we must consider. First, it is September. Typically, stocks do well up to about the middle of September and then tend to sell off such that the month ends in the red. Some technical analysts… Continue reading September 2017 Stock State
August Stock State: Market Outlook and Strategy
August 9, 2017 update: Two things that matter: 1) August is typically a negative month for stocks. 2) Geopolitical risk related to N. Korea causes investors to take money out of the market. You can choose to ride out August if you believe, like I do, that the last quarter will reverse course and be… Continue reading August Stock State: Market Outlook and Strategy
July Stock State: Outlook and Market Strategy
Outlook and Strategy for June 7, 2017. Sell-offs or market adjustment in high-flying tech and semiconductors is noticable. Stocks such as ATVI, EA, ADBE, RHT, ADSR, MU, PYPL, NVDA, LRCX, and AVGO have had the fastest run-up and are at the greatest risk for a sell-off or correction. Howver, the bigger name FAAMG stocks that… Continue reading July Stock State: Outlook and Market Strategy
June Stock State: Market Strategy and Outlook
June 2, 2017 update: Markets are gaining momentum. As of this Thursday and Friday, a risk-on appetite from strong labor market data and positive expectations among businesses and consumers led to put more money into smaller, riskier growth stocks. This is a good sign. Moreover, it reinforces the prospects for a continuation of the current… Continue reading June Stock State: Market Strategy and Outlook
The Border Adjustment Tax (BAT) is really GREAT!
Economists seem less worried about it for several reasons. First, other countries we trade with use the same thing against us. Second, a BAT is not a trade restriction such as a tariff or quota that the World Trade Organization (WTO) can overturn as being in violation of a previous trade agreement. Third, a BAT is not a trade export subsidy that would lead… Continue reading The Border Adjustment Tax (BAT) is really GREAT!
What about the Current Economy and Markets?
The supply or production side of the economy driven by individual and business interests was for about eight years due to anti-business and anti-private sector policies. The rationale for these policies was a socialist agenda coupled with a lack of understanding of how a market based economy (i.e., capitalism) works. The result was slow and… Continue reading What about the Current Economy and Markets?